Die 200-Dollar-Drohung

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Die Opec-Staaten dämpfen die Hoffnung auf niedrigere Ölpreise. Damit wächst auch die Sorge um das deutsche Wirtschaftswachstum. Statt des erhofften Entspannungssignals gab es in Riad einen Paukenschlag: Auf 200 Dollar pro Fass und mehr könne der Ölpreis steigen, wenn die USA den Iran angreife, polterte Venezuelas Präsident Hugo Chavez beim Treffen der Staatschefs der Organisation erdölexportierender Länder (Opec) am Wochenende in Saudi-Arabien. Für Irans Präsident Mahmud Ahmadinedschad ist der derzeitige hohe Weltmarktpreis für Rohöl von nahezu 100 Dollar pro Barrel Rohöl zu niedrig. Es steht zu befürchten, daß wir uns auf weiter steigende Rohöl- und Kraftstpffpreise einstellen müssen. Fachleute aus der Wirtschaft warnen, daß der Aufschwung gefährdet ist. Jede 10 Dollar-Erhöhung der Rohölpreise kostet rund 0,2 % Wirtschaftswachstum. So wird das mit 2,2 %prognostizierte Wachstum der deutschen Wirtschaft  für das Jahr 2008  wohl nach nunten korrigiert werden müssen. Wie die Spekulationen an der Börse auf den Rohölpreis einwirken werden, ist bisher nicht genau einzuschätzen. Jede geopolitische Unsicherheit in der Welt kann die börsengestützten Rohlöpreise weiter in  ungeahnter Höhe nach oben bewegen. Lesen Sie die Hintergründe [ via: Die 200-Dollar-Drohung ] -tagesspiegel.de.

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