Prognose Mineralölmarkt 2007

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Wie beurteilen Fachleute aus der Mineralölbranche die Chancen des Marktes im laufenden Jahr?  Dr. Franke, Vorstandsvorsitzender der  Deutschen BP, zu der auch die Aral-Tankstellenkette gehört, erklärte hierzu in der BP-Presseverlautbarung: "Das erste Quartal mit einem (vorläufigen) Minus von 14 % über alle Produkte ist noch verzerrt durch den sehr geringen Heizölabsatz (-38 %). Beim Ottokraftstoff wird in Erwartung anhaltender Substitution von Otto-Pkw durch Diesel-Pkw sowie weiter sinkenden Kraftstoffverbrauchs und Fahrleistungen je Pkw mit einem erneuten Konsumrückgang gerechnet. Beim Dieselkraftstoff gehen wir dagegen mit Blick auf die erwartete Konjunkturerholung und den wachsenden Diesel-Pkw Bestand von einem wieder leicht höheren Bedarf als 2006 aus.? Für Autoschmierstoffe wird für dieses Jahr ein Rückgang erwarte, so Franke. Im Vergleich zum Vorjahr rechnet die BP in diesem Jahr insgesamt mit einem etwas niedrigerem Gesamt-Mineralölkonsum in Deutschland.

 

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